Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #222552

Nkana VS Kansanshi Dynamos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.74%
Draw
28.65%
Away
18.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3400
Log loss
0.6397

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
d1301639b9ef03da34d9066be8f59394a2d00512788707cdf8b34ba56e086a3e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →