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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22253

Doneztebe FT VS Huarte

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.80%
Draw
25.03%
Away
19.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9102
Log loss
1.3851

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
0a76409f125aefbe70891f9b6c6a7c97f6d4e8dcf4997207a7f8f94ce047e1ac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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