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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222517

Philippine Army VS Azkals

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 07:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.58%
Draw
14.45%
Away
73.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1020
Log loss
0.3015

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
5ba8820db371c8413813905df2dc85088ba2d9fe57364f5a17ea857caf12f30c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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