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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222460

Aberdeen U21 VS Queen's Park

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.50%
Draw
23.15%
Away
44.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8929
Log loss
1.4632

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
58d10623bf7e5b5cf8c8da1005fb964dd8f1c5b6e2c3418ab924bdb393d94ea7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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