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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222414

East Bengal II VS Al Seeb

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 13:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.96%
Draw
23.66%
Away
20.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0031
Log loss
1.5906

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
5166d73e5f171fef0599c10acc2e088145f41fb7fd5472acc99f1f7258ef953a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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