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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222380

Vissel Kobe VS Ratchaburi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.67%
Draw
19.48%
Away
11.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1501
Log loss
0.3759

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
ea3f108dee2adb64df38d66b16c8f845585b81654e69bf6b2f5e787d3e37ed03

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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