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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22233

Hertha Zehlendorf VS Reinickendorfer Fuchse

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.68%
Draw
19.66%
Away
22.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2691
Log loss
0.5503

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:37 UTC
SHA-256
bec0075cd9e67d899500f0aaba3ad4f2cd5f21dab036a1f25c9a8a47ddcc8341

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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