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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222286

Vålerenga W VS Lyn W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
76.27%
Draw
14.05%
Away
9.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0854
Log loss
0.2709

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
8e9401bc43c6baff3b7107457f132c68f0190152580b83950f9be7fe3e94a8ae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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