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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222257

Hatta U23 VS Al Wahda U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.23%
Draw
22.38%
Away
51.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8584
Log loss
1.3383

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
62f6e2d16d52dbe7c014c5bb4c72c4508e0b39cb42c5131f2c3353fab353d429

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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