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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222235

Los Angeles FC VS Minnesota United FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 01:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.02%
Draw
22.04%
Away
21.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9717
Log loss
1.5169

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
0ae12044b22a45637692441e910922673a17e0d9ebe09aee902bd86d7a7d123e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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