Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #222210

Angel City W VS Boston Legacy W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.87%
Draw
17.47%
Away
13.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1461
Log loss
0.3730

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
b463bcdc23c9ed47fda97891e132b844b3d8d3bcfe75fcb1f7abf7b9f2e50024

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →