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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222197

Orense SC VS Tecnico Universitario

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 20:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.46%
Draw
26.28%
Away
22.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8578
Log loss
1.3364

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
b49fb027f12c7c43fb11f87cabc5ee492c8c9dd4380a767e2d2312ab2a396018

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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