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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222031

OFK Bor 1919 VS FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.48%
Draw
26.98%
Away
47.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4130
Log loss
0.7437

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
17c8e8d82aeaf7218998c46229f2d9c980fe4fce201e91b033a944387eaabce1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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