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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222029

Teleoptik VS Javor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.02%
Draw
25.13%
Away
45.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4406
Log loss
0.7798

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
9bd4dcb65602002ec68705119f83b36d21746651293e05582d635619c2b05480

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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