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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222025

Dubočica VS FK Vozdovac

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.64%
Draw
28.84%
Away
36.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7597
Log loss
1.2433

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
409d1fb4c54a7b6a88085486f2c78bfea681a56cf19d8b1be2f0daf7943624a1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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