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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222015

Dukla Banská Bystrica VS Dunajska Streda

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
14.97%
Draw
18.92%
Away
66.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1731
Log loss
0.4139

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
39b9b5c8e894e16078c9e5de9c809ae5cc5d3d6f01a748d711046638efbe6850

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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