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Frozen pre-match forecast · #222000

Cieza VS Deportiva Minera

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.88%
Draw
27.51%
Away
30.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7326
Log loss
1.1838

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
f8a7772fc9c2c53076619ace1b05408281bb2e5b01dbd5e4f3b33f01bda1bb64

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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