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Frozen pre-match forecast · #221979

Inter Club d'Escaldes VS Penya Encarnada

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
83.66%
Draw
11.97%
Away
4.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.4767
Log loss
2.1228

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
d56e8bb55ef3c3b50f51e97e9d81b42a79dab0d02723fc21f74c8ee4f9a441a3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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