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Frozen pre-match forecast · #221893

Enköping VS Järfälla

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.52%
Draw
21.46%
Away
22.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9848
Log loss
1.5391

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
fb7682e1a2b4cf3b5f55bc82965f5123eabc6170481d3bc11d39ee406aa0241e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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