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Frozen pre-match forecast · #221799

Hammarby Talang VS Gefle IF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.97%
Draw
19.25%
Away
13.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.2289
Log loss
1.9820

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
c4899b6d303c5522707d158aeb8316a434a205731c4d23ee7302d810865d3b0e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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