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Frozen pre-match forecast · #221742

SSV Jeddeloh VS Bremer SV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.61%
Draw
22.66%
Away
24.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9361
Log loss
1.4846

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
41e9d77b169e1288340d594e7985273c6aa4a7b9cb2b660b2b2506034a2d50b5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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