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Frozen pre-match forecast · #221729

Eendracht Termien VS Racing Mechelen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.70%
Draw
21.84%
Away
30.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4140
Log loss
0.7402

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
9cd196795391e431303ea0a8ef0146636b18e01918478bb242050c3ee513d7c3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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