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Frozen pre-match forecast · #221608

Voorde Appelterre VS Ninove

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.91%
Draw
22.50%
Away
25.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3474
Log loss
0.6557

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
9780cbdefaabd37234333ed3eac0ef4b894dc18b96337163d2f612339b6b853b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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