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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22159

Pohronie VS Inter Bratislava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.74%
Draw
24.59%
Away
18.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0439
Log loss
1.6783

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:36 UTC
SHA-256
c55d4e2ccbfd9636d9fde6823d8e4c33ed0fd26c08df48836f8fbafde2f20630

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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