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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22144

Uljanik VS Slavonija Požega

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.33%
Draw
42.29%
Away
16.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5307
Log loss
0.8606

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
82453c4cc589f0858fe1036a7b018366cb188a976c083ff8286cbbf3be5040ae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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