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Frozen pre-match forecast · #221375

Dinamo Barnaul VS Khimik Dzerzhinsk

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.76%
Draw
17.32%
Away
65.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1743
Log loss
0.4168

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
07588a0d1a5acfbbe0f3faefaebfac4be1e771ef282c4892a366f0f668907293

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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