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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22133

Zlín II VS Vítkovice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.54%
Draw
36.51%
Away
27.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7786
Log loss
1.2745

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:35 UTC
SHA-256
cd8bcc7149aa3f471e8099cbea030436e8abc3b7b838a684423806fd05523d68

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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