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Frozen pre-match forecast · #221045

Tubize VS Onhaye

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.96%
Draw
22.50%
Away
20.54%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2781
Log loss
0.5628

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
140be9c4a82ed38e70bc241c10305efdb4028f80822f17ff7b6b3a8d7c8ec61f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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