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Frozen pre-match forecast · #220993

FC Voluntari VS Farul Constanta

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.30%
Draw
25.74%
Away
40.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5257
Log loss
0.8926

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
79e5f35e11b4c53ec7eefb60eb8f93a092ef95be5279e7ab5886c42d88d55b83

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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