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Frozen pre-match forecast · #220813

Kryvbas KR VS Dynamo Kyiv

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.98%
Draw
25.68%
Away
51.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3555
Log loss
0.6666

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
28d2096c25cf5c95abe5759500b31916fed020c217e15ea71dfcbad3c014be45

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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