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Frozen pre-match forecast · #220736

Wa Power VS Northern City

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.83%
Draw
26.45%
Away
20.71%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9778
Log loss
1.5745

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
69a2c5d0a0ad9eb5f18d0e518606a3d53e96803e1fd65cdfc6af2aae2f6902dd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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