Frozen pre-match forecast · #220724
Home Stars VS Accra Lions
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 31 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 44.94%
- Draw
- 29.65%
- Away
- 25.41%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.4556
- Log loss
- 0.7998
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 31 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
- SHA-256
- 66ad8538e57af8212eff66a9a78ef860bdf883f92f0c2f7a4bdb34ba5d0bc4f6
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.