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Frozen pre-match forecast · #220718

Ebusua Dwarfs VS Pro-Sports Academy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.93%
Draw
27.64%
Away
24.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4072
Log loss
0.7354

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
ceb6d41dd2b634a01c5cdfe300f2c731bec75fbd05c695cb7e71b7ea8be43802

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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