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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22057

Masar VS Proxy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.30%
Draw
31.49%
Away
16.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3530
Log loss
0.6482

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
95d64904a354401e0351538c0d447671658d6f20b991a689d5cb27df6da6a390

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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