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Frozen pre-match forecast · #220493

B68 VS NSI Runavik

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.79%
Draw
16.64%
Away
70.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1307
Log loss
0.3486

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
65eb6b2abb237d176389747b1cd59c71d3602aee185d7ef55f6591b8122e8bab

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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