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Frozen pre-match forecast · #220260

Maccabi Yavne VS Shimshon Tel Aviv

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.05%
Draw
26.35%
Away
31.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5051
Log loss
0.8663

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
691461e0ee63e82e54307910095c6ecd34f3c6e6b79b9d01321cdfe0c52c7fdd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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