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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219907

Hougang United VS Young Lions

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.29%
Draw
19.50%
Away
19.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0664
Log loss
1.6497

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
6ad7fe278a87c48f1d2e12022f63163667193d05390daa3673b8fa0951daae99

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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