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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219709

South Shields W VS Sjr Worksop W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.89%
Draw
18.96%
Away
58.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.2635
Log loss
0.5421

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
927f6077c07d5ad14d4650f71da571c1ea5c55c203b6d011527a0e57189583ec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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