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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219682

Andranik VS Bentonit Ijevan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.68%
Draw
16.81%
Away
13.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.2616
Log loss
2.0011

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
ef5bed4aa7caf3f271dc46c5aa0e66d3cbebff8b08a55ed4c3353384b320f581

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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