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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219666

Brentwood Town VS Leatherhead

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.15%
Draw
21.73%
Away
29.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7912
Log loss
1.2337

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
f38b562c0274b645920d8da2475b27ff8dd5cc7e44a89fc12262f55a5cc8f102

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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