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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219612

Górnik Łęczna W VS Czarni Sosnowiec W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.85%
Draw
23.15%
Away
32.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6949
Log loss
1.1089

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
a0fadb68eadf27d40d9162ea6be1b1cfeed823f31a7df2d5f33d2a24b019e402

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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