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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219602

Independ. Rivadavia VS Banfield

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 00:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.57%
Draw
22.57%
Away
15.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2238
Log loss
0.4851

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
64ddc8e501e968142db75b8878a2f104ee32102d7a4792e6949a77fec7551028

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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