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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219597

Belgrano Cordoba VS Barracas Central

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.20%
Draw
28.67%
Away
21.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8054
Log loss
1.2493

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
2158ef8cebad8f592edd86594c1a7e1e254d0bc1876b1b15e8ac673b4cf2e86e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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