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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219593

Vasteras SK FK VS IF Brommapojkarna

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.60%
Draw
24.79%
Away
27.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4123
Log loss
0.7424

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
e97ee5535c33ffc4e087875d12e5132676f6fd5123247c38d2a75e2d6ef4e5a4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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