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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219585

Lyn VS Raufoss

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.04%
Draw
18.09%
Away
13.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1541
Log loss
0.3851

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
ecef6bff7f0c571e6adba7e9206c8a4dd78baa4fdc2cf7f74e766436002a0358

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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