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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219564

Terrassa VS Reddis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.17%
Draw
25.79%
Away
22.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3439
Log loss
0.6507

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
158d87bb8cdb16f74d9ee790748273f7de1a2d1098ace70b563e2c907103821e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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