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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219562

Nõmme United II VS FC Tallinn

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.86%
Draw
18.79%
Away
24.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2807
Log loss
0.5646

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
997f882aebe6f1218d4d55d6c4a1314f9034c3afa6885aa3d753e1021d7e2d9d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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