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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219535

Guimaraes B VS Vianense

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 03:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.34%
Draw
25.20%
Away
23.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8781
Log loss
1.3783

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 03:02 UTC
SHA-256
40fe37ea0ae9a8fc5456a665c6c999bc110ba5353274d1ada73f31a6cde17589

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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