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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219531

Juventud Torremolinos VS Águilas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 03:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.66%
Draw
27.73%
Away
37.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7839
Log loss
1.2827

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 03:02 UTC
SHA-256
5a1ca6f2ec0a0b584bcb48f182808383075ab4c79e822ce3767186d7d7ee5529

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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