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Frozen pre-match forecast · #219529

Floriana VS Valletta FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 03:02 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.31%
Draw
28.11%
Away
36.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6059
Log loss
1.0057

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
31 Oct 2026 · 03:02 UTC
SHA-256
4be5c52db6c0c1e78a9687adb936aded73dea196c3219b2cf7bb7cf72bafa2fd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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